Prediction and Application of Acoustic Environmental Quality Pollution in Urumqi City Based on Exponential Smoothing

This paper took the conventional monitoring data of the regional acoustic environment and road traffic acoustic environment in Urumqi from 2011 to 2021 as the research object, analyzed the current situation and established an exponential smoothing model. The predicted value of the model was basically consistent with the acoustic environment pollution in Urumqi City. It was relatively reliable, so the model could be used for shortterm and medium-term forecasting of the acoustic environment quality of capital cities, and the model was used to predict the level of acoustic environment pollution in the next 10 years. The overall sound environment quality level will be within 54.5 dB(A), and the road traffic will remain within 65.0 dB(A), and the sound environment quality will continue to be in a relatively stable stage. The prediction results would be a useful reference for the management division.