基于PSR—熵权-TOPSIS模型广西新型电力系统气候韧性评估

Climate Resilience Assessment of Guangxi's New Power System Based on the PSR-Entropy Weight-TOPSIS Model

  • 摘要: 基于2015—2021年广西相关统计数据,利用压力-状态-响应(PSR)模型构建广西新型电力系统气候韧性指标体系,采用熵权法确定各指标权重,再结合TOPSIS方法计算新型电力系统气候韧性指数,最后给出不同年份的气候韧性等级评估结果。结果表明:①2015—2017年,广西新型电力系统气候韧性呈现下降趋势,一直处于Ⅱ级韧性;②2018年—2021年,持续上升,在2020年达到Ⅲ级韧性水平,整体呈现上升趋势,但新型电力系统气候韧性水平仍有极大提升空间。最后,对于如何建设具有气候韧性新型电力系统提出政策性建议。

     

    Abstract: Based on the relevant statistical data of Guangxi from 2015 to 2021, this paper constructed a climate resilience index system for the new power system in Guangxi using the Pressure-State-Response(PSR) model, the weight of each index was determined using the entropy weight method, and then the climate resilience index of the new power system was calculated using the TOPSIS method, finally providing the climate resilience level assessment results for different years. The results showed the climate resilience of the new power system in Guangxi was a downward trend from 2015 to 2017, and it had always been at level Ⅱ resilience. From 2018 to 2021, it continued to reaching level Ⅲ resilience in 2020, showing an overall upward trend, but there was still a great room for improvement in the level of climate resilience of the new power system. Finally, policy recommendations are made for the construction of the new power system.

     

/

返回文章
返回