基于GF-1遥感图像和ResNet50网络的PM2.5浓度预测研究

Research on PM2.5 Concentration Prediction Based on GF-1 Remote Sensing Image and ResNet50 Network

  • 摘要: 基于GF-1卫星图像、结合Merra-2气象数据作为辅助预测变量,构建了长三角地区基于ResNet50网络的PM2.5预测模型。其中气象参数可以为模型提供较为准确的PM2.5浓度基准,而GF-1图像能帮助模型更合理准确地预测PM2.5浓度的空间变化。利用十折交叉验证和测试集验证对模型进行检验,结果显示:模型的皮尔森相关系数R为0.948,预测PM2.5的RMSE为6.6μg/m3。反演得到分辨率为500 m的PM2.5浓度分布图合理稳健。GF-1遥感图像和ResNet50网络适用于PM2.5浓度预测,可以作为辅助监测手段,为长三角地区PM2.5热点识别、后续流行病学研究提供数据支撑。

     

    Abstract: By referring to GF-1 satellite images and taking Merra-2 meteorological data into account as the variables of auxiliary prediction, PM2.5 prediction model based on ResNet50 network was constructed for the Yangtze River Delta. According to this model, meteorological data could be used to provide an accurate PM2.5 concentration benchmark, while GF-1 images could be used to predict the spatial change of PM2.5 concentration in a more reasonable and accurate way. The results showed that the Pearson correlation coefficient of the model was 0.948 and the RMSE was 6.6 μg/m3. As obtained from model inversion, the distribution of 500m resolution PM2.5 concentration map was verified to be reasonable and robust, indicating that GF-1 remote sensing image and ResNet50 network were suitable for the prediction of PM2.5 concentration. The model could be used as auxiliary monitoring means to provide data support for PM2.5 hot spot identification and follow-up epidemiological research in the Yangtze River Delta region.

     

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