水污染预警模型的构建与运用——以漓江流域为例

Construction and Application of Water Pollution Warning Model-the Lijiang River Basin as an Example

  • 摘要: 通过建立合适的水污染预警模型给出及时、可靠的水污染预警信息,对于开展水污染的预防、治理工作具有指导性作用。利用单一水质因子浓度与其最高标准容许值构建了单因子水质污染指数预警模型,实现了评价的同趋化;基于单因子水质污染指数采用层次分析法构建了水污染综合指数预警模型。对所构建的两个水质污染预警模型在漓江流域中进行了运用。得到结果:从溶解氧、高锰酸盐指数、氨氮、总磷单因子水质污染指数预测漓江流域的水质状况为优;从总氮单因子水质污染指数预测漓江流域的水质状况为中度污染或轻度污染;由漓江流域水污染综合指数预测值,得到其综合水质整体呈现逐渐变好的趋势。

     

    Abstract: By establishing a suitable water pollution warning model, the timely and reliable water pollution warning information is given, which has played guiding role in the prevention and control of water pollution. In this paper, a single factor water pollution index warning model is constructed using the data of single water quality factor and its maximum standard allowable value, which solves the unification of evaluation. The weights of water quality factors were obtained by analytic hierarchy process. Based on the weight and single factor water pollution index, the warning model of water pollution comprehensive index is constructed. The two water pollution warning models were applied in the Lijiang River Basin. The results obtained that the water quality status of the Lijiang River basin was the best as predicted from the dissolved oxygen, permanganate index, and ammonia nitrogen and total phosphorus single factor water quality pollution index. The water quality of the Lijiang River basin was moderate or mild pollution as predicted from total Nitrogen Single Factor Water Pollution Index. The comprehensive water quality of the predicted value of the comprehensive water pollution index was gradually getting better.

     

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