结合出租车轨迹数据和微观排放模型的道路碳排放评估

Road Carbon Emission Assessment based on Taxi Track Data and Micro Emission Model

  • 摘要: 传统的道路交通碳排放估算借助燃料消耗和车辆里程的统计数据,通过能源消耗和平均碳排放因子计算城市尺度上的交通碳排放,然而该方法估算精度较低、数据获取困难,且无法反映城市内部道路交通碳排放的空间差异。针对该问题,本文基于海量的出租车轨迹数据,使用出租车GPS点位置计算瞬时速度和加速度等关键统计信息;在此基础上,引入微观排放模型对深圳市道路交通碳排放进行量化,并结合多元道路指数对深圳市的四种空气污染物(CO2、NOx、VOC、PM)的排放量进行关联分析。研究发现,CO2、NOx、VOC三种污染物的空间分布最为相似;深圳市碳排放高值聚集区主要分布在福田区和罗湖区;介数中心性和接近中心性两种道路指标的与上述污染物的分布具有正相关关系。

     

    Abstract: The traditional estimation of road traffic carbon emissions is based on the statistical data of fuel consumption and vehicle mileage, and the traffic carbon emissions on the urban scale are calculated by energy consumption and average carbon emission factors. However, the estimation accuracy of this method is low, it is difficult to obtain data, and cannot reflect the spatial difference of road traffic carbon emissions within the city. In order to solve this problem, based on the massive taxi track data, this paper used the taxi GPS point location to calculate the instantaneous speed and acceleration and other key statistical information. On this basis, the micro emission model was introduced to quantify the road traffic carbon emissions in Shenzhen, and combined with the multiple road index to analyze the emissions of four air pollutants(CO2, NOx, VOC, PM) in Shenzhen. It was found that the spatial distributions of CO2, NOx and VOC were the most similar; the high carbon emission concentration areas in Shenzhen were mainly distributed in Futian District and Luohu District; the two road indexes of intermediate centrality and near centrality had a positive correlation with the distribution of the above pollutants. This study could provide reference and support for urban planning and traffic management, and helped to promote the construction of low-carbon cities and the development of ecological civilization.

     

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