南京市沿江湿地生态系统生产总值时空演变及其驱动机制分析

Spatial-Temporal Evolution and Driving Mechanism for Gross Ecosystem Product of the Wetland along Yangtze River in Nanjing

  • 摘要: 以《陆地生态系统生产总值(GEP)核算技术指南》为依据,以部门调研、文献统计、自然和地理等多元数据为基础,构建了湿地GEP通用动态核算模型,开展了南京市沿江湿地GEP时空演变及驱动机制研究。结果表明:①南京市沿江湿地多年平均GEP为29.68亿元,其中龙袍湿地的GEP最高,为10.88亿元,其次为新济洲和绿水湾湿地,分别为9.30亿元和6.50亿元,八卦洲湿地GEP最低,为3亿元;②南京市沿江湿地GEP的构成中,气候调节的价值最高,为15.11亿元,占南京市沿江湿地GEP的50.89%,调蓄洪水、物种保育和土壤保持的价值分别为18.98%、15.88%和5.46%,水质净化、水源涵养和科研旅游等的价值占比不足9%;从年际变化来看,南京市沿江湿地的年均GEP在16.93亿元和55.66亿元波动,不同时间段的GEP差异显著;③自然因素是南京市沿江湿地GEP演变的重要推动力量,但是社会政策因素的影响也不容忽视,比如退耕还湿能有效促进局部湿地GEP的提升,在长江大保护的背景下绿水湾湿地GEP年均增长率为0.24亿元。南京市沿江湿地GEP的动态核算结果可以为政府建立湿地生态效益补偿机制、开展长江大保护提供价值参考。

     

    Abstract: Based on "The Technical Guideline on Gross Ecosystem Product(GEP)", this study constructed a general dynamic accounting model for wetland GEP based on departmental surveys, literature statistics, natural and geographical data, etc. The results showed that the average annual GEP of the wetland along Yangtze River in Nanjing was 2.968 billion yuan. Longpao wetland had the highest GEP of 1.088 billion yuan, followed by Xinjizhou wetland and Lvshuiwan Wetland with 0.93 billion yuan and 0.65 billion yuan, respectively. Baguzhou Wetland had the lowest GEP of 0.3 billion yuan. Among the GEP components, the value of climate regulation was the highest, which was 1.511 billion yuan, accounting for 50.89% of the total GEP. The values of flood storage, species conservation and soil conservation were 18.98%, 15.88% and 5.46%, respectively. The value of ecological functions such as water purification, water conservation and scientific research tourism accounted for less than 9%. From the perspective of inter-annual changes, the average annual GEP fluctuated between 1.693 billion and 5.566 billion yuan, and the GEP in different time period was significantly different. Natural factors were an important driving force for the evolution of GEP along Yangtze River in Nanjing, but the impact of social policy factors couldnot be ignored. For example, returning farmland to wetlands would effectively promote the improvement of GEP in local wetlands. In the context of the protection of Yangtze River, the average annual growth rate of GEP in Lvshuiwan wetlands was 24 million yuan. The dynamic accounting results of GEP along Yangtze River in Nanjing would provide a valuable reference for the government to establish a wetland ecological benefit compensation mechanism and carry out the protection of the Yangtze River.

     

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