基于Kaya恒等式的西安市碳足迹影响因素分析

Analysis of Factors Affecting Carbon Footprint in Xi'an City Based on Kaya Identity

  • 摘要: 构建西安市碳足迹Kaya恒等式,根据IPCC方法计算碳足迹量,运用LMDI方法定量分析了西安市碳足迹影响因素的作用程度。结果表明:经济发展是推动西安市碳足迹增长的首要因素,其次是单位工业能耗碳足迹和人口规模;能源强度是抑制西安市碳足迹增长的主要因素,其次是工业能源消费比重。根据分析结果,提出应从供给侧结构性改革、适度增长人口规模、提高能源利用效率、优化能源结构等方面实现碳足迹的减速增长。

     

    Abstract: The Kaya identity of carbon footprint in Xi'an was built based on the method by IPCC. The amount of carbon footprint in Xi'an was calculated using LMDI method. The degree of the factors affecting the carbon footprint was quantitatively analyzed. The results showed that economic development was the primary factor to promote the growth of carbon footprint in Xi'an,followed by the carbon footprint per unit of industrial energy consumption,then population size. Energy intensity was the main factor to restrain the growth of carbon footprint,followed by the proportion of industrial energy consumption. According to the analysis results,it proposed that the slow growth of carbon footprint could be achieved from the aspects of supply-side structural reform,moderately increasing population size,improving energy use efficiency,and optimizing energy structure.

     

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