基于可拓理论的油气管道黄土湿陷危险性评价

The Risk Assessment of Loess Collapse for Pipelines based on Extension Theory

  • 摘要: 依据物元理论和可拓集合理论,构建黄土湿陷危险性评价物元模型。在区域地质环境与黄土湿陷基本特征调查研究的基础上,选取14个具代表性的、可量化的评价指标,引入灰色关联度法求其权系数,采用可拓关联函数确定待评物元与危险性分级之间的关联度和隶属度。通过实际应用和对比分析,证明基于灰色关联度的可拓法用于油气管道黄土湿陷危险性评价具有较高的可信度和良好的实用性。

     

    Abstract: With an increasing number of oil and gas transmission pipelines being laid across the Loess Plateau region of China,the risk assessment of loess collapse for pipelines that pass through this collapsible loess developed region has become a research hotspot. This study established a matter-element model for loess collapse risk assessment based on matter-element theory and extension set theory (extenics). The model selected 14 representative and quantitative indicators on the basis of surveys and research on regional geological characteristics and collapsibility of loess. Gray correlation method was applied to calculate the weight coefficients of these 14 indicators. The correlation and membership of the matter-elements to be assessed and the risk ranking were determined by correlation function in extension theory. The practical application and comparative studies approved that the application of Gray-Correlation Method-based extenics on risk assessment of loess collapse for oil and gas transmission pipelines is of high reliable and practicable.

     

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